Faking Intelligence
In
Ray Kurzweils 1999 book The Age of the Spiritual Machine, the author
speculates on the long-term, future effects of Moores Law. In its true form,
this theory is actually known as Moores Law of Integrated Circuits
and has a
limited scope. In 1965, inventor of the integrated circuit Gordon Moore noticed
that the number of transistors that could fit into a computer chip was doubling
roughly every 18 months to 2 years; consequently, over the last 35 years, the
capacity and speed of computation has increased at approximately the same
accelerated rate.
Even though the letter of Moores Law applies only to the
number of transistors in a chip, many theorists including
Kurzweil have interpreted it to have much larger implications for our
future lives with machines. If, in fact, the capacity of microchips continues to
increase exponentially, computers will be making calculations at the same speed
as human beings by the year 2020. Speculation about the impact of a functional
artificial intelligence range from the utopian to the apocalyptic, as N.
Katherine Hayles noted when she warned that The prospect of becoming
posthuman both evokes terror and excites pleasure (283). While Kurzweil
disagrees that the future holds much terror, he does predict it will
explode with changes.
Technical Challenges and Changes with Artificial Intelligence
Linguistic
Challenges and Changes with Artificial Intelligence